FRIDAY 8-29-08…You’ve probably heard the commercials which end with the announcer saying “The war on global warming has just begun.” The latest issue of the Farmer’s Almanac is indicating the war on global warming is an effort in futility. In fact, the almanac’s winter forecast is even at odds with the national weather service. It’ll really be interesting to see how all this plays out.
The almanac is calling for one heck of a cold winter everywhere. The national weather service is calling for a much warmer winter than normal. But what’s really interesting in all this isn’t necessarily the opposing viewpoints, it’s the admission by the chief of the operations branch at the National Oceanic & Atmospheric Administration’s Climate Prediction Center.
Chief Ed O’Lenic says it’s generally impossible to come up with accurate forecasts more than a week in advance. He says “It is possible to prepare a forecast with any lead time you like. Whether or not that forecast has any accuracy or usable skill is another question.”
That creates the obvious question: How is it then, that global warming alarmists (like Al Gore who is neither a scientist nor expert) can predict the planet is going to heat up to the point where the ocean will swallow up coast lines, and islands? If weather can’t be accurately predicted in excess of one week, why are people swallowing the global warming concept that predicts what’ll be happening five years, ten years, twenty years down the road?
Victor Manuel Velasco Herrera, researcher at the Institute of Geophysics in Mexico says that in about ten years, the Earth will enter a “little ice age” which will last from sixty to eighty years, caused by the decrease in solar activity. Interestingly, he points out our star (the Sun) has never been seen as a cooling agent…only a warming agent…but it has two roles….warming AND cooling. Why isn’t anyone believing HIM when he predicts something ten years down the road, yet they’re awfully quick to believe Al Gore?
The Farmer’s Almanac is basing its prediction of a catastrophic winter on –among other things–solar activity, or lack of it. It boasts eighty five percent accuracy. Can NOAA or National Weather Service say the same?